Is mercurial dying?

Is it me, or has Mercurial well and truly lost the race against git? 

A couple of things make me think that mercurial is no longer a particularly viable option. Firstly, I’m only really hearing about development on git, and particularly on GitHub. I regularly hear things like “I just pushed TCP support for <package X> to GitHub” but I don’t know that I’ve ever heard a similar “<package X> just got it’s tests fixed on BitBucket.” Maybe this is because I’m looking at a lot of JavaScript projects and not looking at Python projects, but it definitely seems that all the cool kids are on Github. 

Second, I just did a very quick scan for git and mercurial integration for Visual Studio. Microsoft are releasing a git extension in their next service pack (Visual Studio 2012 Update 2). Mercurial integration packages like VisualHG aren’t even compatible with Visual Studio 2012.

The disappointing thing here is that GitHub’s policy on private repos is so much tighter than BitBucket. In BitBucket, I get unlimited free private mercurial and git repos. In GitHub I have to pay to get any. I understand why GitHub needs to charge. Of course I do. It’s just that I’ve been avoiding Github because I have a lot of stuff that’s not fit for public consumption but which I want under source control.

Ah, well. First-world problem.